Never
in my lifetime has public leadership been so needed or so lacking. We are
living in a paradox where a pandemic, a crisis if you’d prefer, is
impacting a vast majority and at the same time only impacting a thin minority.
We
easily know how we’re impacted; businesses closed, jobs lost, jobs furloughed, massive
debt, economic restructuring (online way up, bricks and mortar way down),
restricted mobility, families split, savings exhausted, and so on. But what
about the sickness and death, or the overworked, endangered healthcare workers?
Not so much impact there.
Take
my home state of Virginia as an example. As reported in the New York Times May 22,
Virginia has reported a total of 34,137 confirmed cases of Corona infection
which has resulted in 1,099 deaths. Put another way, 1 out of every 250 Virginians
has been diagnosed with the Corona virus and 1 out of every 7,700 had died from
COVID19.
The
chances that any given uninfected Virginian knows someone who has been infected
is remote. Knowing someone who gets seriously ill even more so. Knowing someone
who has died from it becomes minute. If you skew those numbers by removing
those sickened or died in nursing homes and prisons, populations which
Americans have a shameful way of discounting by easily forgoing compassion, it
is no wonder why people cannot “feel” the effect of the actual disease in a
personal way. In most other states it is even more so.
Nationally,
there are about 300,000 nurses working in critical care, or about 1 out of
every 1000 Americans. Doctors number far less. The number of those nurses who
get infected amounts to 1 out of about 22,000 Americans. Exact numbers are not
known, but these are reasonable estimates.
The
bottom line is this: of those Americans rebelling against economic
restrictions, mobility restrictions, and behavioral directions, the vast majority
has had no direct, personal experiences with the disease itself…devastation for
a few, a news stream for the rest.
Initially
the prospect of getting terribly sick and even dying generated enough fear to
curb the behavior of most people. Living a confined lifestyle felt more like participation
in a greater effort. Then communications from the Federal Government became
disjointed, rambling, contradictory, or even bombastic.
In
time there became an almost carnival believability to the predictions and
estimates. With no plan for everyone, we began to watch fifty different plans
evolve, mostly piecemeal in States that were being infected at different rates
and at different times. Now we're seeing it again as restrictions are removed.
Only
three weapons were disbursed to fight this invisible enemy and late at that;
keep distance between yourself and others, wash your hands, and don’t touch
your face. The importance greatly depended on what television network a person
watched. It was good advice, but for many it did not feel commensurate with the
social upheaval.
If
you were deemed a person at risk for COVID19 mortality then the dire nature of
the messages (or at least some of the messages) made the sequestered times seem
even more uncertain. If you were a person considered not at risk, the
sacrifices (liberty, mobility, economic security e.g.) began to appear
excessive as one’s individual situation was weighed against amorphous predictions.
The
incompetence of Trump only widened our already polar political and social
divisions. Medical directions or even the entire Pandemic itself has become
attached to political conspiracies or infringements of “patriotic”
liberties. Liberal obsession with the
past and future dire consequences of Trump’s ineptitude only exasperated the
disconnect between what is and what should be.
Real
leadership finds a middle ground between fear and blind trust. For example, we
have known since December that an airborne, person to person virus was loose in
the world. If an American President had only prepared the nation to make the
initial, simple sacrifice of wearing masks in confined public spaces and other
large gathering the consequences of the virus would have been substantially
reduced, both health and economic.
Now
today wearing or not wearing a mask has political considerations. How crazy is
that?
Leadership
can help people understand something they can’t feel, to empathize when
experience provides no basis for empathy. It’s done with honesty, humility, responsibility,
and by example. It could have made small but critical sacrifices not a
restriction of individual liberty, but an enhancement to it.
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